Celtic vs Celta Vigo Result: 1-2 — How the Model Called It, 22 October 2026
Celtic vs Celta Vigo finished 1-2 on 22 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Celtic 1-2 Celta Vigo.
- Result: Celta Vigo.
- The model gave this outcome a 33.7% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Celtic 1-2 Celta Vigo in UEFA Europa League, 22 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Celtic vs Celta Vigo these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Celtic | 42.2% |
| Draw | 24.1% |
| Celta Vigo | 33.7% |
The model made Celtic the most likely outcome at 42.2%. What happened was Celta Vigo, which it gave 33.7%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Celtic vs Celta Vigo analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Europa League table and fixtures
- Celtic — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Celta Vigo — Profile, squad and fixtures
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