Coventry vs Newcastle Result: 4-1 — How the Model Called It, 12 October 2026
Coventry vs Newcastle finished 4-1 on 12 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Coventry 4-1 Newcastle.
- Result: Coventry.
- The model gave this outcome a 29.9% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Coventry 4-1 Newcastle in Premier League, 12 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Coventry vs Newcastle these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Coventry | 29.9% |
| Draw | 29.8% |
| Newcastle | 40.3% |
The model made Newcastle the most likely outcome at 40.3%. What happened was Coventry, which it gave 29.9%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Coventry vs Newcastle analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Premier League table and fixtures
- Coventry — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Newcastle — Profile, squad and fixtures
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