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FOOTBALLPremier Leaguematch-recap12/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Result: 2-3 — How the Model Called It, 12 September 2026

Crystal Palace vs Ipswich finished 2-3 on 12 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Crystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich.
  • Result: Ipswich.
  • The model gave this outcome a 28.3% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Crystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich in Premier League, 12 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Crystal Palace vs Ipswich these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Crystal Palace46.7%
Draw25.0%
Ipswich28.3%

The model made Crystal Palace the most likely outcome at 46.7%. What happened was Ipswich, which it gave 28.3%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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