Crystal Palace vs Manchester City Result: 1-4 — How the Model Called It, 28 August 2026
Crystal Palace vs Manchester City finished 1-4 on 28 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Crystal Palace 1-4 Manchester City.
- Result: Manchester City.
- The model gave this outcome a 63.8% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Crystal Palace 1-4 Manchester City in Premier League, 28 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Crystal Palace vs Manchester City these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 17.1% |
| Draw | 19.1% |
| Manchester City | 63.8% |
The model's most likely outcome — Manchester City at 63.8% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Crystal Palace vs Manchester City analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Premier League table and fixtures
- Crystal Palace — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Manchester City — Profile, squad and fixtures
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