Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest Result: 3-1 — How the Model Called It, 11 October 2026
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest finished 3-1 on 11 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest.
- Result: Crystal Palace.
- The model gave this outcome a 35.6% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Crystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest in Premier League, 11 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 35.6% |
| Draw | 30.9% |
| Nottingham Forest | 33.5% |
The model's most likely outcome — Crystal Palace at 35.6% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Premier League table and fixtures
- Crystal Palace — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Nottingham Forest — Profile, squad and fixtures
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