Estoril vs Rio Ave Result: 0-2 — How the Model Called It, 22 August 2026

Estoril vs Rio Ave finished 0-2 on 22 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: Estoril 0-2 Rio Ave.
Result: Rio Ave.
The model gave this outcome a 25.5% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Estoril 0-2 Rio Ave in Primeira Liga, 22 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Estoril vs Rio Ave these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
Estoril	39.5%
Draw	35.1%
Rio Ave	25.5%

The model made Estoril the most likely outcome at 39.5%. What happened was Rio Ave, which it gave 25.5%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full Estoril vs Rio Ave analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Primeira Liga table and fixtures
Estoril — Profile, squad and fixtures
Rio Ave — Profile, squad and fixtures

Get the weekly briefing

Next week's fixtures, how last week's published picks actually settled, and the newest analysis. One email a week. Unsubscribe in one click.

We never share your address, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe.