FOOTBALLPrimeira Ligamatch-recap28/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Estoril vs Rio Ave Result: 0-2 — How the Model Called It, 22 August 2026
Estoril vs Rio Ave finished 0-2 on 22 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Estoril 0-2 Rio Ave.
- Result: Rio Ave.
- The model gave this outcome a 25.5% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Estoril 0-2 Rio Ave in Primeira Liga, 22 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Estoril vs Rio Ave these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Estoril | 39.5% |
| Draw | 35.1% |
| Rio Ave | 25.5% |
The model made Estoril the most likely outcome at 39.5%. What happened was Rio Ave, which it gave 25.5%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Estoril vs Rio Ave analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Primeira Liga table and fixtures
- Estoril — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Rio Ave — Profile, squad and fixtures
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