Everton vs Crystal Palace Result: 2-0 — How the Model Called It, 22 August 2026

Everton vs Crystal Palace finished 2-0 on 22 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: Everton 2-0 Crystal Palace.
Result: Everton.
The model gave this outcome a 41.6% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Everton 2-0 Crystal Palace in Premier League, 22 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Everton vs Crystal Palace these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
Everton	41.6%
Draw	26.4%
Crystal Palace	32.1%

The model's most likely outcome — Everton at 41.6% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full Everton vs Crystal Palace analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Premier League table and fixtures
Everton — Profile, squad and fixtures
Crystal Palace — Profile, squad and fixtures

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