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FOOTBALLBundesligamatch-recap30/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model

FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 Result: 3-0 — How the Model Called It, 30 August 2026

FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 finished 3-0 on 30 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04.
  • Result: FC Augsburg.
  • The model gave this outcome a 42.2% chance before kick-off.

Final score

FC Augsburg 3-0 FC Schalke 04 in Bundesliga, 30 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
FC Augsburg42.2%
Draw27.7%
FC Schalke 0430.1%

The model's most likely outcome — FC Augsburg at 42.2% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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