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FOOTBALLUEFA Europa Leaguematch-recap16/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen Result: 2-1 — How the Model Called It, 15 October 2026

Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen finished 2-1 on 15 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Ferencvarosi TC 2-1 Plzen.
  • Result: Ferencvarosi TC.
  • The model gave this outcome a 47.5% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Ferencvarosi TC 2-1 Plzen in UEFA Europa League, 15 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Ferencvarosi TC47.5%
Draw25.2%
Plzen27.3%

The model's most likely outcome — Ferencvarosi TC at 47.5% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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