Fiorentina vs Frosinone Result: 0-3 — How the Model Called It, 29 August 2026
Fiorentina vs Frosinone finished 0-3 on 29 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Fiorentina 0-3 Frosinone.
- Result: Frosinone.
- The model gave this outcome a 21.5% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Fiorentina 0-3 Frosinone in Serie A, 29 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Fiorentina vs Frosinone these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 54.1% |
| Draw | 24.4% |
| Frosinone | 21.5% |
The model made Fiorentina the most likely outcome at 54.1%. What happened was Frosinone, which it gave 21.5%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Fiorentina vs Frosinone analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Serie A table and fixtures
- Fiorentina — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Frosinone — Profile, squad and fixtures
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