FOOTBALLSerie Amatch-recap05/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Fiorentina vs Torino Result: 1-2 — How the Model Called It, 5 September 2026
Fiorentina vs Torino finished 1-2 on 5 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Fiorentina 1-2 Torino.
- Result: Torino.
- The model gave this outcome a 30.3% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Fiorentina 1-2 Torino in Serie A, 5 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Fiorentina vs Torino these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 42.0% |
| Draw | 27.7% |
| Torino | 30.3% |
The model made Fiorentina the most likely outcome at 42.0%. What happened was Torino, which it gave 30.3%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Fiorentina vs Torino analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Serie A table and fixtures
- Fiorentina — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Torino — Profile, squad and fixtures
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