FOOTBALLUEFA Europa Leaguematch-recap23/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht Result: 0-3 — How the Model Called It, 22 October 2026
Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht finished 0-3 on 22 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Jagiellonia 0-3 Anderlecht.
- Result: Anderlecht.
- The model gave this outcome a 39.1% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Jagiellonia 0-3 Anderlecht in UEFA Europa League, 22 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Jagiellonia | 35.5% |
| Draw | 25.5% |
| Anderlecht | 39.1% |
The model's most likely outcome — Anderlecht at 39.1% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Europa League table and fixtures
- Jagiellonia — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Anderlecht — Profile, squad and fixtures
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