FOOTBALLSerie Amatch-recap11/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Lazio vs Monza Result: 3-1 — How the Model Called It, 11 October 2026
Lazio vs Monza finished 3-1 on 11 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Lazio 3-1 Monza.
- Result: Lazio.
- The model gave this outcome a 50.3% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Lazio 3-1 Monza in Serie A, 11 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Lazio vs Monza these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Lazio | 50.3% |
| Draw | 26.9% |
| Monza | 22.8% |
The model's most likely outcome — Lazio at 50.3% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Lazio vs Monza analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Serie A table and fixtures
- Lazio — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Monza — Profile, squad and fixtures
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