FOOTBALLSerie Amatch-recap31/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Lecce vs AS Roma Result: 0-4 — How the Model Called It, 31 August 2026
Lecce vs AS Roma finished 0-4 on 31 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Lecce 0-4 AS Roma.
- Result: AS Roma.
- The model gave this outcome a 71.7% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Lecce 0-4 AS Roma in Serie A, 31 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Lecce vs AS Roma these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Lecce | 10.3% |
| Draw | 18.0% |
| AS Roma | 71.7% |
The model's most likely outcome — AS Roma at 71.7% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Lecce vs AS Roma analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Serie A table and fixtures
- Lecce — Profile, squad and fixtures
- AS Roma — Profile, squad and fixtures
Get the weekly briefing
Next week's fixtures, how last week's published picks actually settled, and the newest analysis. One email a week. Unsubscribe in one click.
We never share your address, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe.
Related reading
- How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities
- Genoa vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities for 28 October 2026
- Monza vs Napoli Prediction — Model Probabilities for 28 October 2026
- Torino vs Monza Result: 3-2 — How the Model Called It, 23 October 2026
- Lazio vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities for 24 October 2026