FOOTBALLSerie Amatch-recap11/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Lecce vs Bologna Result: 1-2 — How the Model Called It, 11 October 2026
Lecce vs Bologna finished 1-2 on 11 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Lecce 1-2 Bologna.
- Result: Bologna.
- The model gave this outcome a 46.1% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Lecce 1-2 Bologna in Serie A, 11 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Lecce vs Bologna these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Lecce | 25.6% |
| Draw | 28.3% |
| Bologna | 46.1% |
The model's most likely outcome — Bologna at 46.1% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Lecce vs Bologna analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Serie A table and fixtures
- Lecce — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Bologna — Profile, squad and fixtures
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