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FOOTBALLUEFA Europa Leaguematch-recap17/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg Result: 0-1 — How the Model Called It, 17 September 2026

Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg finished 0-1 on 17 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Levski Sofia 0-1 Red Bull Salzburg.
  • Result: Red Bull Salzburg.
  • The model gave this outcome a 50.0% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Levski Sofia 0-1 Red Bull Salzburg in UEFA Europa League, 17 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Levski Sofia26.9%
Draw23.1%
Red Bull Salzburg50.0%

The model's most likely outcome — Red Bull Salzburg at 50.0% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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