FOOTBALLUEFA Europa Leaguematch-recap15/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Lyon vs Crystal Palace Result: 3-2 — How the Model Called It, 15 October 2026
Lyon vs Crystal Palace finished 3-2 on 15 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Lyon 3-2 Crystal Palace.
- Result: Lyon.
- The model gave this outcome a 45.4% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Lyon 3-2 Crystal Palace in UEFA Europa League, 15 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Lyon vs Crystal Palace these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Lyon | 45.4% |
| Draw | 24.8% |
| Crystal Palace | 29.8% |
The model's most likely outcome — Lyon at 45.4% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Lyon vs Crystal Palace analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Europa League table and fixtures
- Lyon — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Crystal Palace — Profile, squad and fixtures
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