Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain Result: 2-4 — How the Model Called It, 14 October 2026
Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain finished 2-4 on 14 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Manchester City 2-4 Paris Saint Germain.
- Result: Paris Saint Germain.
- The model gave this outcome a 28.1% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Manchester City 2-4 Paris Saint Germain in UEFA Champions League, 14 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Manchester City | 44.3% |
| Draw | 27.5% |
| Paris Saint Germain | 28.1% |
The model made Manchester City the most likely outcome at 44.3%. What happened was Paris Saint Germain, which it gave 28.1%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Champions League table and fixtures
- Manchester City — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Paris Saint Germain — Profile, squad and fixtures
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