FOOTBALLUEFA Champions Leaguematch-recap10/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Napoli vs Arsenal Result: 0-1 — How the Model Called It, 9 September 2026
Napoli vs Arsenal finished 0-1 on 9 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Napoli 0-1 Arsenal.
- Result: Arsenal.
- The model gave this outcome a 68.6% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Napoli 0-1 Arsenal in UEFA Champions League, 9 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Napoli vs Arsenal these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Napoli | 16.5% |
| Draw | 14.9% |
| Arsenal | 68.6% |
The model's most likely outcome — Arsenal at 68.6% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Napoli vs Arsenal analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Champions League table and fixtures
- Napoli — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Arsenal — Profile, squad and fixtures
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