NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Result: 2-2 — How the Model Called It, 8 September 2026
NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior finished 2-2 on 8 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Excelsior.
- Result: A draw.
- The model gave this outcome a 25.1% chance before kick-off.
Final score
NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Excelsior in Eredivisie, 8 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 52.6% |
| Draw | 25.1% |
| Excelsior | 22.3% |
The model made NEC Nijmegen the most likely outcome at 52.6%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 25.1%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Eredivisie table and fixtures
- NEC Nijmegen — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Excelsior — Profile, squad and fixtures
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