NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 15 October 2026
NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia finished 1-1 on 15 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski Sofia.
- Result: A draw.
- The model gave this outcome a 27.4% chance before kick-off.
Final score
NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski Sofia in UEFA Europa League, 15 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 46.1% |
| Draw | 27.4% |
| Levski Sofia | 26.6% |
The model made NEC Nijmegen the most likely outcome at 46.1%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 27.4%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Europa League table and fixtures
- NEC Nijmegen — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Levski Sofia — Profile, squad and fixtures
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