Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia Result: 2-1 — How the Model Called It, 16 September 2026
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia finished 2-1 on 16 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Olympiakos Piraeus 2-1 Jagiellonia.
- Result: Olympiakos Piraeus.
- The model gave this outcome a 67.0% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Olympiakos Piraeus 2-1 Jagiellonia in UEFA Europa League, 16 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 67.0% |
| Draw | 20.1% |
| Jagiellonia | 12.9% |
The model's most likely outcome — Olympiakos Piraeus at 67.0% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Europa League table and fixtures
- Olympiakos Piraeus — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Jagiellonia — Profile, squad and fixtures
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