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FOOTBALLEredivisiematch-recap19/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles Result: 4-1 — How the Model Called It, 18 October 2026

PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles finished 4-1 on 18 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: PEC Zwolle 4-1 GO Ahead Eagles.
  • Result: PEC Zwolle.
  • The model gave this outcome a 29.5% chance before kick-off.

Final score

PEC Zwolle 4-1 GO Ahead Eagles in Eredivisie, 18 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
PEC Zwolle29.5%
Draw29.8%
GO Ahead Eagles40.7%

The model made GO Ahead Eagles the most likely outcome at 40.7%. What happened was PEC Zwolle, which it gave 29.5%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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