FOOTBALLEredivisiematch-recap30/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model
PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen Result: 1-3 — How the Model Called It, 29 August 2026
PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen finished 1-3 on 29 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: PEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC Nijmegen.
- Result: NEC Nijmegen.
- The model gave this outcome a 47.7% chance before kick-off.
Final score
PEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC Nijmegen in Eredivisie, 29 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | 25.6% |
| Draw | 26.7% |
| NEC Nijmegen | 47.7% |
The model's most likely outcome — NEC Nijmegen at 47.7% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Eredivisie table and fixtures
- PEC Zwolle — Profile, squad and fixtures
- NEC Nijmegen — Profile, squad and fixtures
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