FOOTBALLEredivisiematch-recap28/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model
PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen Result: 5-1 — How the Model Called It, 23 August 2026
PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen finished 5-1 on 23 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: PSV Eindhoven 5-1 Groningen.
- Result: PSV Eindhoven.
- The model gave this outcome a 53.0% chance before kick-off.
Final score
PSV Eindhoven 5-1 Groningen in Eredivisie, 23 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 53.0% |
| Draw | 21.4% |
| Groningen | 25.6% |
The model's most likely outcome — PSV Eindhoven at 53.0% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Eredivisie table and fixtures
- PSV Eindhoven — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Groningen — Profile, squad and fixtures
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