Pusamania Borneo vs Persija Prediction — Model Probabilities for 5 September 2026

MatchSense model probabilities for Pusamania Borneo vs Persija on 5 September 2026. Form, the table and the head-to-head behind the numbers.

Key takeaways

The model's highest probability outcome is Pusamania Borneo at 43.0%.
Pusamania Borneo: 43.0%.
Persija: 29.3%.
Draw: 27.8%.
3 further markets for this fixture are priced on the analysis page.
Pusamania Borneo come in on 8-2-0 from their last 10.
The estimate is revised when confirmed team sheets arrive.

Pusamania Borneo take on Persija on 5 September 2026, 12:00 UTC in Liga 1. This page carries the MatchSense model's probabilities for the fixture — not a tip, but an estimate of how likely each outcome is.

The model's read

Outcome	Model probability
Pusamania Borneo	43.0%
Persija	29.3%
Draw	27.8%

A probability is a rate over many similar matches: 55% means about 55 in 100, and says nothing certain about this one.

How both sides arrive

Pusamania Borneo are unbeaten in 10, scoring 2.7 a game. Persija have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, scoring 2.1 a game.

The head-to-head

The two have met just twice in our records. They last met on 3 March 2026, Persija drawing 2-2.

Beyond the match result, the model also prices 3 further markets for this fixture — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market, and a confidence band. Those sit on the match analysis page.

Behind the estimate

Attacking and defensive strength, Elo ratings, the run of recent results, home advantage and who is fit all feed the estimate. The numbers are revised when confirmed lineups arrive, because one missing starter can move them several points.

The full method is in How the MatchSense Prediction Model Works and How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities.

Go deeper

Full Pusamania Borneo vs Persija analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Liga 1 table and fixtures
Pusamania Borneo — Profile, squad and fixtures
Persija — Profile, squad and fixtures

This page is analytical and educational. Probabilities are not guarantees of any result.

Frequently asked questions

Who is more likely to win, Pusamania Borneo or Persija?

The MatchSense model gives Pusamania Borneo the highest probability at 43.0%. Even as the leading call it holds under half the probability, which makes this an open fixture.

When do Pusamania Borneo and Persija play?

Kick-off is scheduled for 5 September 2026, 12:00 UTC in Liga 1.

Which markets are analysed for Pusamania Borneo vs Persija?

Alongside the match result shown on this page, the model prices 3 further markets — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market and a confidence band, on the match analysis page.

What happened the last time Pusamania Borneo played Persija?

They last met on 3 March 2026, Persija 2-2 Pusamania Borneo. Across both meetings, Pusamania Borneo have won 1, Persija 0, with 1 drawn.

How accurate are these probabilities?

They are calibrated against historical fixtures: across a set of 60% calls, close to 60% should actually happen. No model can make a single match certain.

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