Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 15 October 2026
Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom finished 1-1 on 15 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Sparta Praha 1-1 Lillestrom.
- Result: A draw.
- The model gave this outcome a 15.5% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Sparta Praha 1-1 Lillestrom in UEFA Europa League, 15 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 71.5% |
| Draw | 15.5% |
| Lillestrom | 13.0% |
The model made Sparta Praha the most likely outcome at 71.5%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 15.5%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Europa League table and fixtures
- Sparta Praha — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Lillestrom — Profile, squad and fixtures
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