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FOOTBALLUEFA Champions Leaguematch-recap21/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

SSC Napoli vs FK Bodø/Glimt Result: 4-3 — How the Model Called It, 20 October 2026

SSC Napoli vs FK Bodø/Glimt finished 4-3 on 20 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: SSC Napoli 4-3 FK Bodø/Glimt.
  • Result: SSC Napoli.
  • The model gave this outcome a 51.3% chance before kick-off.

Final score

SSC Napoli 4-3 FK Bodø/Glimt in UEFA Champions League, 20 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave SSC Napoli vs FK Bodø/Glimt these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
SSC Napoli51.3%
Draw21.2%
FK Bodø/Glimt27.5%

The model's most likely outcome — SSC Napoli at 51.3% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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