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FOOTBALLEredivisiematch-recap11/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag Result: 2-2 — How the Model Called It, 11 October 2026

Telstar vs ADO Den Haag finished 2-2 on 11 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Telstar 2-2 ADO Den Haag.
  • Result: A draw.
  • The model gave this outcome a 23.2% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Telstar 2-2 ADO Den Haag in Eredivisie, 11 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Telstar vs ADO Den Haag these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Telstar49.7%
Draw23.2%
ADO Den Haag27.1%

The model made Telstar the most likely outcome at 49.7%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 23.2%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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