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FOOTBALLUEFA Champions Leaguematch-recap21/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

VfB Stuttgart vs Club Atlético de Madrid Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 20 October 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Club Atlético de Madrid finished 1-1 on 20 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Club Atlético de Madrid.
  • Result: A draw.
  • The model gave this outcome a 22.6% chance before kick-off.

Final score

VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Club Atlético de Madrid in UEFA Champions League, 20 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave VfB Stuttgart vs Club Atlético de Madrid these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
VfB Stuttgart21.9%
Draw22.6%
Club Atlético de Madrid55.5%

The model made Club Atlético de Madrid the most likely outcome at 55.5%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 22.6%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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