Willem II vs Excelsior Result: 0-3 — How the Model Called It, 5 September 2026

Willem II vs Excelsior finished 0-3 on 5 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: Willem II 0-3 Excelsior.
Result: Excelsior.
The model gave this outcome a 41.1% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Willem II 0-3 Excelsior in Eredivisie, 5 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Willem II vs Excelsior these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
Willem II	32.7%
Draw	26.2%
Excelsior	41.1%

The model's most likely outcome — Excelsior at 41.1% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full Willem II vs Excelsior analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Eredivisie table and fixtures
Willem II — Profile, squad and fixtures
Excelsior — Profile, squad and fixtures

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