PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Prediction — Model Probabilities for 13 September 2026
MatchSense model probabilities for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord on 13 September 2026. Form, the table and the head-to-head behind the numbers.
Key takeaways
- The model's highest probability outcome is Feyenoord at 58.8%.
- Feyenoord: 58.8%.
- Draw: 22.1%.
- PEC Zwolle: 19.1%.
- PEC Zwolle are 14th in the table, Feyenoord 3rd.
- Probabilities are refreshed once confirmed lineups are published.
PEC Zwolle take on Feyenoord on 13 September 2026, 14:45 UTC in Eredivisie. What follows is the MatchSense model's read on this fixture, with the recent record of both sides for context.
In the Eredivisie table, PEC Zwolle are 14th and Feyenoord 3rd, 7 points between them — 11 places apart in an 18-team competition.
The model's read
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 58.8% |
| Draw | 22.1% |
| PEC Zwolle | 19.1% |
Read a probability as a long-run frequency: a 55% call means fixtures that look like this one finish that way roughly 55 times in 100.
How both sides arrive
PEC Zwolle come in with 6 defeats in 10, keeping 2 clean sheets. Feyenoord have gone 10 matches without defeat, scoring 2.2 a game.
The head-to-head
It is Feyenoord who lead this one 3-0-0. The most recent meeting came on 17 May 2026: PEC Zwolle 0-2 Feyenoord, Feyenoord taking it.
Where the numbers come from
Attacking and defensive strength, Elo ratings, the run of recent results, home advantage and who is fit all feed the estimate. The numbers are revised when confirmed lineups arrive, because one missing starter can move them several points.
The full method is in How the MatchSense Prediction Model Works and How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities.
Go deeper
- Full PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Eredivisie table and fixtures
- PEC Zwolle — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Feyenoord — Profile, squad and fixtures
This page is analytical and educational. Probabilities are not guarantees of any result.
Frequently asked questions
Who is more likely to win, PEC Zwolle or Feyenoord?
The MatchSense model gives Feyenoord the highest probability at 58.8%. That is a real but not decisive edge over the other results.
When do PEC Zwolle and Feyenoord play?
Kick-off is scheduled for 13 September 2026, 14:45 UTC in Eredivisie.
What happened the last time PEC Zwolle played Feyenoord?
They last met on 17 May 2026, PEC Zwolle 0-2 Feyenoord. Across 3 meetings, PEC Zwolle have won 0, Feyenoord 3, with 0 drawn.
How is the model's accuracy measured?
The model is scored against past results, so a 60% probability has historically landed near 60% of the time. A single match remains uncertain.
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