PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Prediction — Model Probabilities for 13 September 2026
MatchSense model probabilities for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord on 13 September 2026. Form, the table and the head-to-head behind the numbers.
Key takeaways
- The model's highest probability outcome is Feyenoord at 55.3%.
- Feyenoord: 55.3%.
- Draw: 24.3%.
- PEC Zwolle: 20.3%.
- 2 further markets for this fixture are priced on the analysis page.
- PEC Zwolle are 13th in the table, Feyenoord 4th.
- Probabilities are refreshed once confirmed lineups are published.
PEC Zwolle take on Feyenoord on 13 September 2026, 14:45 UTC in Eredivisie. What follows is the MatchSense model's read on this fixture, with the recent record of both sides for context.
In the Eredivisie table, PEC Zwolle are 13th and Feyenoord 4th, 7 points between them — 9 places apart in an 18-team competition.
The model's read
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 55.3% |
| Draw | 24.3% |
| PEC Zwolle | 20.3% |
Read a probability as a long-run frequency: a 55% call means fixtures that look like this one finish that way roughly 55 times in 100.
How both sides arrive
PEC Zwolle come in with 6 defeats in 10, keeping 2 clean sheets. Across their last 10, Feyenoord show 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats, scoring 2.2 a game.
The head-to-head
It is Feyenoord who lead this one 3-0-0. The most recent meeting came on 17 May 2026: PEC Zwolle 0-2 Feyenoord, Feyenoord taking it.
Beyond the match result, the model also prices 2 further markets for this fixture — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market, and a confidence band. Those sit on the match analysis page.
Where the numbers come from
Attacking and defensive strength, Elo ratings, the run of recent results, home advantage and who is fit all feed the estimate. The numbers are revised when confirmed lineups arrive, because one missing starter can move them several points.
The full method is in How the MatchSense Prediction Model Works and How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities.
Go deeper
- Full PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Eredivisie table and fixtures
- PEC Zwolle — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Feyenoord — Profile, squad and fixtures
This page is analytical and educational. Probabilities are not guarantees of any result.
Frequently asked questions
Who is more likely to win, PEC Zwolle or Feyenoord?
The MatchSense model gives Feyenoord the highest probability at 55.3%. That is a real but not decisive edge over the other results.
When do PEC Zwolle and Feyenoord play?
Kick-off is scheduled for 13 September 2026, 14:45 UTC in Eredivisie.
Which markets are analysed for PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord?
Alongside the match result shown on this page, the model prices 2 further markets — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market and a confidence band, on the match analysis page.
What happened the last time PEC Zwolle played Feyenoord?
They last met on 17 May 2026, PEC Zwolle 0-2 Feyenoord. Across 3 meetings, PEC Zwolle have won 0, Feyenoord 3, with 0 drawn.
How is the model's accuracy measured?
The model is scored against past results, so a 60% probability has historically landed near 60% of the time. A single match remains uncertain.
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