FOOTBALLPremier Leaguematch-recap30/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Sunderland vs Fulham Result: 1-0 — How the Model Called It, 30 August 2026
Sunderland vs Fulham finished 1-0 on 30 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Sunderland 1-0 Fulham.
- Result: Sunderland.
- The model gave this outcome a 21.6% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Sunderland 1-0 Fulham in Premier League, 30 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Sunderland vs Fulham these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Sunderland | 21.6% |
| Draw | 26.3% |
| Fulham | 52.1% |
The model made Fulham the most likely outcome at 52.1%. What happened was Sunderland, which it gave 21.6%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Sunderland vs Fulham analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Premier League table and fixtures
- Sunderland — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Fulham — Profile, squad and fixtures
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