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FOOTBALLBundesligamatch-recap12/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model

1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart Result: 2-1 — How the Model Called It, 12 September 2026

1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart finished 2-1 on 12 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 VfB Stuttgart.
  • Result: 1899 Hoffenheim.
  • The model gave this outcome a 41.8% chance before kick-off.

Final score

1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 VfB Stuttgart in Bundesliga, 12 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
1899 Hoffenheim41.8%
Draw23.5%
VfB Stuttgart34.7%

The model's most likely outcome — 1899 Hoffenheim at 41.8% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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