FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt Result: 1-3 — How the Model Called It, 12 September 2026
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt finished 1-3 on 12 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: FSV Mainz 05 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt.
- Result: Eintracht Frankfurt.
- The model gave this outcome a 25.1% chance before kick-off.
Final score
FSV Mainz 05 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt in Bundesliga, 12 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 50.4% |
| Draw | 24.5% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 25.1% |
The model made FSV Mainz 05 the most likely outcome at 50.4%. What happened was Eintracht Frankfurt, which it gave 25.1%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Bundesliga table and fixtures
- FSV Mainz 05 — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Eintracht Frankfurt — Profile, squad and fixtures
Get the weekly briefing
Next week's fixtures, how last week's published picks actually settled, and the newest analysis. One email a week. Unsubscribe in one click.
We never share your address, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe.
Related reading
- How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities
- Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities for 24 October 2026
- FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen Prediction — Model Probabilities for 24 October 2026
- SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV Prediction — Model Probabilities for 24 October 2026
- FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities for 24 October 2026