Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart Result: 1-0 — How the Model Called It, 17 October 2026
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart finished 1-0 on 17 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Hamburger SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart.
- Result: Hamburger SV.
- The model gave this outcome a 23.3% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Hamburger SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart in Bundesliga, 17 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 23.3% |
| Draw | 26.3% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 50.4% |
The model made VfB Stuttgart the most likely outcome at 50.4%. What happened was Hamburger SV, which it gave 23.3%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Bundesliga table and fixtures
- Hamburger SV — Profile, squad and fixtures
- VfB Stuttgart — Profile, squad and fixtures
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