FOOTBALLBundesligamatch-recap30/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model
SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Result: 4-1 — How the Model Called It, 30 August 2026
SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen finished 4-1 on 30 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: SC Freiburg 4-1 Werder Bremen.
- Result: SC Freiburg.
- The model gave this outcome a 53.9% chance before kick-off.
Final score
SC Freiburg 4-1 Werder Bremen in Bundesliga, 30 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 53.9% |
| Draw | 24.2% |
| Werder Bremen | 21.9% |
The model's most likely outcome — SC Freiburg at 53.9% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Bundesliga table and fixtures
- SC Freiburg — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Werder Bremen — Profile, squad and fixtures
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