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FOOTBALLBundesligamatch-recap05/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model

SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg Result: 0-1 — How the Model Called It, 5 September 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg finished 0-1 on 5 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: SC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC Freiburg.
  • Result: SC Freiburg.
  • The model gave this outcome a 44.3% chance before kick-off.

Final score

SC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC Freiburg in Bundesliga, 5 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
SC Paderborn 0730.7%
Draw24.9%
SC Freiburg44.3%

The model's most likely outcome — SC Freiburg at 44.3% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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