VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln Result: 4-1 — How the Model Called It, 4 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln finished 4-1 on 4 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: VfB Stuttgart 4-1 1. FC Köln.
Result: VfB Stuttgart.
The model gave this outcome a 63.3% chance before kick-off.

Final score

VfB Stuttgart 4-1 1. FC Köln in Bundesliga, 4 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
VfB Stuttgart	63.3%
Draw	19.0%
1. FC Köln	17.6%

The model's most likely outcome — VfB Stuttgart at 63.3% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Bundesliga table and fixtures
VfB Stuttgart — Profile, squad and fixtures
1. FC Köln — Profile, squad and fixtures

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